Thinks 145

Since when does government have a money tree? by Michael R. Strain. [US context, but applicable everywhere] “Someone, at some point, needs to pay for government spending…Don’t believe the assurances that higher taxes and low-interest debt servicing will contain the costs…The costs of financing government spending should always be front and center. When they aren’t, cost-benefit tests simply become benefit tests.”

The left is winning the economic battle of ideas: by Chris Giles (FT). “The model of pre-coronavirus capitalism, with high levels of inequality, is losing popular support, suggesting the need for a post-Covid world with more support for the vulnerable and higher taxes, especially on extreme levels of income, wealth and profits. But there is still an important trade-off between equity and efficiency. Take redistribution too far and no one is satisfied.”

TIME100 Most Influential Companies 2021

Microns and AMP: A Powerful Combo (Part 1)

AMP for Email

Email has been around for 50 years. I have been using email for 30+ years. And yet, the first time I actually did something within an email was only a few weeks ago. I received an email with a quiz with multiple options. Ordinarily, one would have to click through to a web page, respond and see the right answer. In this particular instance, I answered in the email and saw the response (right/wrong) right within the email. All in my Gmail inbox. Without clicking and going out of it.

This ‘magic’ is called AMP (Accelerated Mobile Pages). It was introduced by Google a few years ago to bring interactivity to emails. Until recently, all I had seen were the demo videos on sites. While Gmail supports it (along with Yahoo Mail), AMP is not yet supported by most other email service providers and mail clients. As a result, its adoption has been very slow. I had first seen AMP as a hot new email technology at a conference in April 2019. Little has changed in the two years since.

AMP gives email marketers the opportunity to transform the user experience. Emails can do so much more – forms, image galleries, product cards, games, dynamic data, and of course, quizzes. One has to really experience it to feel the possibilities and imagine a new future for emails.

As I started thinking about AMP, my focus was on microns. Microns, as I have explained earlier, are short, informational, identified emails – made to fit in a single mobile screen and consumable in a few seconds. Think of them as a new email format – deliberately constrained to drive an increase in open rates from micro-attention consumers.

What if we added AMP to microns and made every short email dynamic and interactive? What if we created AMPlets which could be easily embedded inside every micron to make it interesting and exciting for the recipient? Creating AMP-enabled emails is still a time-consuming process even though there are many sites now that make it easier. What if creating an AMPlet could be as simple as creating regular text and image microns? This could make each micron even more of a delight and take us closer to the goal of driving email open rates from an average of 15% to closer to 100%. For the mission of “No Email Unopened”, AMP-enabled microns can be a huge enabler.

Thinks 144

FT interview with Malcolm Gladwell: “Has his podcasting career changed the work he does? “When I was younger, I made the mistake very often of making up my mind too early in the reporting process,” he says. “And now I’m a lot more open. The podcast has helped a lot. Podcasts, I realised, are teamwork. It’s not solo any more. And the wonderful function of the team is that their reactions give you an opportunity to revisit and revise and change your mind and start over. It’s an institutional pressure to keep your mind open.”

What Cities need now: from Technology Review. “What is clear is that technology companies are increasingly taking on administrative and infrastructure responsibilities that governments have long fulfilled. If smart cities are to avoid exacerbating urban inequalities, we must understand where these projects will create new opportunities and problems, and who may lose out as a result. And that starts by taking a hard look at how cities have fared so far.”

Watched: The Martian

Microns: Solving the Customer Reactivation Problem (Part 6)

The Business Case

In India, there are about 400 million email users. Let’s assume that the transactors are about 25% of those – so about 100 million. Let’s further assume that each of these users has about 50 brand relationships – across all the ecommerce categories, media, OTT, telecom, travel, retail, banking and finance, and social. Each of us will at least have 10 dormant relationships. So, that makes for a billion dormant brand-customer relationships. Brands have spent at least Rs 100 in acquiring each of these customers so that is about Rs 10,000 crore which lies wasted. Assuming brands are willing to pay Rs 10 to reawaken a customer, this is a Rs 1,000 crore market opportunity for microns – 5 times the total market size for email in India.

Let us look at it from the brand side. About a third of the brand’s customer base is likely to be dormant. (We had taken 50% in the Rest customers category – assuming a third of them are unreachable for various reasons, we come to the same 33% figure of the overall customer base.) A snippet from V12 suggests even higher numbers: “According to a Marketing Sherpa study, upwards of 75 percent of email subscribers are inactive… Approximately 25 percent to 30 percent of contact data goes bad each year under normal circumstances.”

Reactivation is a problem for every brand. The same idea of reactivation using microns can be taken globally. With 4 billion email users worldwide (10 times that of India), the global opportunity for microns is easily Rs 10,000 crore (about $1.3 billion) – probably much greater.

Reactivation hasn’t been looked at seriously since it falls between the two stools of acquisition and engagement. The adtech team wants to acquire new customers – which is also what the top management would like to see and show. The martech team wants to drive engagement and retention, and ignores customers who were once new but are now inactive. No one is responsible for reactivation. This is the whitespace for marketers – it can give faster success at lower spends. (But which marketer wants to lower their spending budget?!)

The compelling economics of microns can make reactivation as the new acquisition. Combined with Velvet Rope Marketing (VRM) for the Best customers, this can be the second cannonball that smart marketers can fire to accelerate growth and increase profits. After all, it is better to reconnect with forgotten friends than approach strangers!

Thinks 143

4 ways Martech will shift in 2021: “Tech companies need to prepare adequately and take appropriate actions now to adjust their marketing approach…It starts with having a clear, powerful and defensible position in the marketplace. Building on top of that foundation, companies must develop a strategic approach that will enable them to think beyond technology and focus on the relationships that will propel them forward. Video will be an essential part of the marketing mix, but there is still plenty of uncertainty. Embracing experimentation will allow tech companies to manage this uncertainty by learning, adapting and thriving.”

How a More Resilient America Beat a Midcentury Pandemic: from WSJ. “In 1957, the U.S. rose to the challenge of the ‘Asian flu’ with stoicism and a high tolerance for risk, offering a stark contrast with today’s approach to Covid-19.”

WSJ.com turns 25: A fascinating journey through the years.

Microns: Solving the Customer Reactivation Problem (Part 5)

The Case for Microns

Microns are short, informational, identified, sequenced emails – priced at a tenth of regular emails. Here are some earlier writings on microns which provide background information:

Microns are much more than simply cheaper and shorter emails. They are identified in the inbox (via BIMI) and also via the subject line (with the µ). They are not one-off but habit forming by arriving in the inbox each day at the same time. This sequencing can enable story-telling in short bursts. They can be made dynamic with the use of AMP thus enabling an exciting interactive component right in the email (micron) itself. Most important, microns are informational and as much more likely to be opened because they inform, educate and entertain – rather than just promote.

While microns have many different applications, one of the best use cases can be for reactivation. Here is the case for microns in brief:

  • Majority of email addresses become inactive over time – “the lost world”
  • Marketing departments tend to focus more on acquisition and retention. It is cheaper to activate than acquire new customers.
  • Email is the best (only) channel to re-establish/ ‘re-awaken’ relationship
    • Use Story Microns, as opposed to promotional emails
    • For new customers, do “continued addressability” via DailyFresh Microns
  • Microns can also be used for leads that did not convert

Another important aspect of microns is that they are cheaper than regular emails. The economics for reactivation now look so much better with microns priced at a tenth of regular emails:

  • Typical micron pricing is 1c CPM (cost per thousand) as opposed to 10c CPM for emails
  • Let’s say, one has a list of 100 email IDs for reactivation
  • Assume each wave of 15 microns results in 1 activation (click to website/app)
  • Thus 1500 microns sent (for 1.5c CPM) result in 1 activation
  • At 1.5c cost per click, brands will now find it significantly more cost effective compared to new acquisition
  • A new subdomain can be used to alleviate the risk of the primary brand domain reputation being negatively impacted

Microns can thus become a new mechanism for reactivation – and a huge new market opportunity.

Thinks 142

Your business is already in trouble, you just haven’t noticed it yet: Rita McGrath offers a checklist. “It’s always astonishing in hindsight, looking at a business that got itself into deep, dark, trouble, how many warning signs there were.”

What makes YouTube videos successful?: by Thomas McKinlay. “Use a subjective tone and don’t overwhelm with information. Ideal length is 10min or longer and published during non-business hours.”

Arnold Kling: “Imagine if every pundit were to start an essay or a podcast in this way, by stating a question and saying whether the pundit will be arguing in the affirmative or in the negative. It would be a lot easier to evaluate essays and podcasts if they provided such clarity.”

Microns: Solving the Customer Reactivation Problem (Part 4)

Current Reactivation Approaches

There are a lot of articles one can find on reactivating dormant customers. Here is a small sample:

There are some common themes as one reviews the articles. Reawakening dormant customers necessarily needs some form of push marketing. Typically, there will be limited information on dormant customers. Some form of identity will generally be available with the brand – either an email address or a mobile number. So, best options are SMS, push notification, WhatsApp or an email. Alternate options include using Google and Facebook to do 1:1 ad targeting with their ‘custom audience’ options. SMS can be expensive and has limitations with its text-only format. Push notification needs the presence of an app on the recipient’s mobile – which may be unlikely since dormant customers may have either uninstalled the app or turned off notifications.

WhatsApp is also expensive to send and has limitations on the type of messages that can be sent. Push ads can also be quite expensive. That leaves email as one of the best channels for reactivation of dormant customers.

Typical advice includes: data analysis, segmentation, offers, samples, personalisation, experiment with different subject lines, invite to events, send videos, and so on.

Even after 20+ years of email marketing there is no clear playbook for a reactivation campaign. As I considered this, I came to one important conclusion: a big limiting factor is the price of email. Even though emails offer better RoI than all other marketing channels, when it comes to reactivation, the cost per email can be a barrier. Here is why:

  • Typical email pricing is 10c CPM (cost per thousand)
  • Let’s say, one has a list of 100 email IDs for reactivation
  • Assume each wave of 15 emails results in 1 activation (click to website/app)
  • Thus 1500 emails sent (for 15c CPM) result in 1 activation
  • At 15c cost per click, brands may find it cheaper to simply go in for new acquisition
  • In all this, there is also the risk of domain reputation being negatively impacted

There is a better reactivation solution – microns with a different marketing playbook.

Thinks 141

Shane Parish: “The best way to improve your ability to think is to spend time thinking. Most of us are too busy to think. We have too many meetings. Too many calls. Too many priorities. Too many demands on our time. With no time to think and make good decisions we rush and make bad ones. And because we made bad decisions, our precious time is further strained as we correct our previous decisions.”

Nikola Tesla: “Gentlemen, some of the ideas I have expressed may appear to many of you hardly realizable; nevertheless, they are the result of long-continued thought and work. You would judge them more justly if you would have devoted your life to them, as I have done. With ideas it is like with dizzy heights you climb: At first they cause you discomfort and you are anxious to get down, distrustful of your own powers; but soon the remoteness of the turmoil of life and the inspiring influence of the altitude calm your blood; your step gets firm and sure and you begin to look—for dizzier heights.” [via Yuvaraj]

Read:  Project Hail Mary by Andy Weir

Microns: Solving the Customer Reactivation Problem (Part 3)

Dormant Customers

Dormant customers abound. As we have discussed, about half of the customers for a brand are likely to fall in this category – what I have called Test customers. Brands have spent good and big money acquiring these customers but for various reasons that relationship is no longer active. Instead of a blossoming friendship, brands and customers have become strangers to each other. Both have gone their own separate ways. Is there a way to bring them back together and rekindle the joy that they had once experienced however briefly?

Jerome Collomb: “One of the best moments as a marketer or salesperson is converting a potential customer into a sale. But just as importantly as converting visitors into customers, marketers need to be on the lookout for making sure that customers stay customers. Dormant customers are a bummer for any business, and it’s important as CMO to create a strategy that successfully awakens these sleepy buyers and gets them back interested in your product.”

Tracy Blanchard: “Customer retention is the most important investment any business can make. That’s because the cost of acquiring new business is five times higher than that of maintaining an existing customer. Once you’ve gone to the trouble (and cost) of gaining a new customer, you’re going to want to hold onto them for dear life. However, even the best-laid retention strategies aren’t 100% fool-proof.  Sometimes customers slip away and stop responding to prompts from you. When this happens, it’s important to be proactive in your attempt to win them back.”

Goran Dragosavac: “Dormancy is typically defined as accounts that were previously active but now have a zero balance, with no transactional or financial movement within a specified period of time. In regards to dormant customers – it is unlikely that they have been given effective “wake up” call, otherwise they would not be dormant, and whatever previous marketing effort had been spent on them – clearly wasn’t effective! The good news is that there is still chance to be awaken with the right marketing stimuli. Key is to try to understand specific dormancy drivers.

Maria Wróblewska: “All companies experience dormant customers. Knowing how to talk to them and win them back is that part of the job where a loyalty program can help you. According to COLLOQUY’s Loyalty Census report (2016), 58% of memberships in the US were inactive. That’s a huge number!”

Annabelle Avery: “The probability of selling to an existing customer is 60-70%, whereas the probability of selling to a new customer is 50-20%. Just let that sink in. So why, oh why do only 18% of companies have a greater focus on customer reactivation strategies as opposed to 44% of companies who have a greater focus on acquisition? Even if a customer hasn’t engaged with you in a while, it may be that marketing dollars are better spent drawing dormant customers back in rather than trying to acquire new ones.”

Tracy Blanchard (again): “Businesses have a 60-70% chance of selling to existing customers and only a 5-20% chance of selling to a new one. Existing customers are not only more likely to buy, but they also spend on average 31% more than new ones. When customers stop responding to marketing efforts, many businesses abandon them. But why abandon a customer who has already done business with you? Even if a customer hasn’t responded for a while, marketing dollars are still better spent courting dormant customers than acquiring new ones. In fact, it’s 3-10 times more expensive to acquire new business than it is to reactivate unresponsive customers.”

It should be clear by now that giving up on dormant customers is not the answer. Brands need a strategy and programme for reactivation.