Thinks 1890

NYTimes: “Sonja Lyubomirsky has been a leading researcher on the science of happiness for decades. And for just as long, people have asked her: What is the secret? Dr. Lyubomirsky, a distinguished professor of psychology at the University of California Riverside, has always chafed at this question. The secret to happiness? How ridiculous and reductive. When pressed, she told me she tends to say something along the lines of: “Connection and relationships. Positive thinking, which includes gratitude. And a sense of control in your life.” But if she really had to choose one thing, she said, the secret to happiness is “feeling loved.” That’s the premise of her latest book, “How to Feel Loved,” out today, which she co-wrote with Harry Reis, a professor of psychology at the University of Rochester who studies close relationships.”

WSJ: “Cellphones and online sports betting were made for each other, because you now have a casino in your pocket. The problem is that casinos always stack the odds in their favor. This built-in profit is the vig, or vigorish. Bet a dollar on an even game and you can only win 90 cents. In props and parlay bets, the vig might be 25% or higher. Prop bets are made on a team’s or player’s individual statistics in a game, like whether LeBron James will score more than 25 points, while parlays combine multiple bets—that four teams will all win their games, for instance—into one bet. Both are attractive. Casinos appreciate the higher vig and gamblers love the prospect of a big payout on a small bet. Never mind that the odds amount to a tax on people who can’t do math.”

FT: “The rise of software in private equity can be traced to two once little-known specialist buyout firms, Vista Equity Partners and Thoma Bravo. The leaders of both firms emerged as prolific acquirers in the wake of the 2000s dotcom bust as they acquired mid-sized software companies selling cyber security, or services to niche industries such as hospital systems, car dealerships or parking meter networks. Many of their targets had been abandoned by public investors but came with steady growth and reliable customers who rarely pushed back on annual price increases. Vista and Thoma earned large gains from their early funds, generally in excess of three times investors’ initial investment after fees. Within the PE industry, the two firms’ returns trounced those of larger, established funds that participated in a mid-2000s bubble of mega-sized takeovers of companies that quickly collapsed.”

TheMaxSource: “The International Software Benchmarking Standards Group analyzed thousands of software projects and found that teams of nine or more are significantly less productive than smaller teams. This isn’t a small effect. The data shows a clear inflection point. Below nine people, productivity holds steady or improves. Above nine, it drops. Analysis of software projects shows teams of five to seven people had the highest productivity with approximately nine percent less variation than teams of three to five, and 12 percent less variation than teams of 1.5 to three people. The five-to-seven range delivered the best schedule performance and lowest development effort. Larger teams translated directly into higher costs and longer timelines.”

Introducing NeoMarketing’s Second Engine: Atrium

1

Need for Two Engines

The 3 NEVERs—Never Lose Customers, Never Pay Twice, Never Pay Fixed—are not aspirations. They are engineering specifications for a new kind of marketing infrastructure. But turning principles into practice requires more than philosophy. It requires systems that make the principles operational.

This is why NeoMarketing is built on two pillars, not one.

Consider the AdWaste problem. Brands lose customers through attention decay. Those customers drift from engaged (“Best”) to declining (“Rest”) to dormant (“Test”). Eventually, brands pay Google and Meta to reacquire people whose email addresses they already have. This is the Reacquisition Tax—a hidden line item that costs brands globally around $500 billion annually.

Eliminating this tax requires solving two distinct problems simultaneously.

The first problem is outcomes. Traditional martech charges for activity—messages sent, journeys triggered, events tracked—regardless of whether customers stay engaged or revenue grows. Vendors get paid even when brands fail. This misalignment guarantees waste.

The second problem is attention. Even with perfect outcome alignment, brands cannot generate results from customers who have stopped listening. The 80% of customers whose attention churns quarterly don’t leave because of bad offers. They leave because attention faded and no system existed to restore it.

These are different problems. They require different solutions. This is the logic behind NeoMarketing’s two-engine architecture.

Meridian is the outcomes engine. It transforms customer engagement and search platforms from fixed-fee SaaS into outcomes-based partnerships. At its core: Context Graphs that give marketing systems genuine memory, and Alpha Pricing borrowed from hedge funds—a share of incremental outcomes beyond the baseline plus long-term carry. When vendors earn only by producing measurable lift, behaviour changes. Meridian’s domain is Best customers: deepen relationships, expand lifetime value, underwrite outcomes. Its promise: “Pay for results, not tools.”

Atrium is the attention engine. It transforms email from a cost centre into self-funding attention infrastructure. Where Meridian focuses on what happens after you have attention, Atrium focuses on earning and maintaining attention in the first place. Its domain is Rest and Test customers: the majority of most databases who are drifting toward reacquisition. Its promise: “Reach without paying twice.”

The relationship between the pillars is complementary, not competitive. Meridian monetises outcomes. Atrium monetises attention. Without attention, there are no outcomes to monetise. Without outcomes, attention has no commercial purpose. The two engines need each other.

They also share infrastructure. Context Graphs—the memory layer that tracks preferences, fatigue, streaks, and intent—power both pillars. Intelligence learned through email engagement informs outcome predictions across channels. Behaviour patterns detected through Meridian shape email personalisation in Atrium. The learning compounds across the system.

The naming reflects this architecture. Meridian points the direction—toward profitable growth and aligned economics. Atrium is where you arrive—the space where attention convenes. Together, they operationalise the 3 NEVERs: Meridian ensures you never pay fixed for outcomes that don’t materialise; Atrium ensures you never lose customers to attention decay and never pay twice to reach people you already own.

One engine alone cannot eliminate AdWaste. Both are required.

2

What Atrium Is

Atrium is the inbox-native attention ecosystem—where utility earns attention, Mu rewards it, and ActionAds monetise it, safely, across brands.

For readers familiar with my earlier writings on “NEO,” Atrium is that concept matured and named to fit the NeoMarketing family. The largest source of AdWaste is not bad acquisition—it is good customers becoming unreachable, then being bought back at auction. Rest and Test customers represent 60-80% of most databases. They’re not strangers. They have history, context, and proven purchase intent. They’re simply not listening anymore. Atrium exists to restore that attention through owned channels before brands are forced to rent it back through ad platforms.

Atrium’s components work as an integrated system:

NeoMails are the daily habit engine. Unlike promotional emails (which interrupt) or transactional emails (which inform), NeoMails are a third category: attention-earning, relationship-building emails built around interaction. They pair Magnets—quizzes, predictions, polls—with the Brand Block, giving customers a reason to open that doesn’t depend on discounts. The brand content appears after attention is earned, not instead of it. NeoMails create cadence where campaigns create noise.

NeoNet is the cooperative recovery network. When a customer stops responding to your NeoMails, they’re often still engaged with another brand’s emails. NeoNet enables recovery through partner surfaces: your ActionAd appears inside an engaged email from a complementary brand, reaching the customer through attention that already exists. No auction fees. No probabilistic targeting. Deterministic recovery through cooperation.

NeoLetters are curated attention containers for publishers, media brands, and institutions. Weekly or daily digests that turn newsletters into attention assets. NeoLetters expand the supply side of the Atrium ecosystem, creating more surfaces where attention can be earned and ActionAds can generate revenue.

Mu is the attention currency that creates return behaviour. Unlike traditional loyalty points earned through purchases, Mu is earned through engagement—completing quizzes, maintaining streaks, making predictions. Balances appear in subject lines. Progress compounds visibly. Mu transforms attention from invisible labour into a fair exchange customers can see and value.

ActionAds are the monetisation layer. Not banner ads that interrupt, but action-first units— Subscribe, Save, Sample, Start, Book, Buy—that convert inside the email without click-through friction. ActionAds monetise attention that Magnets have already earned, making the interaction additive rather than extractive.

ZeroCPM is the economic outcome. When ActionAd revenue exceeds delivery costs, the effective cost-per-thousand drops to zero. Email stops being an expense line and becomes self-funding infrastructure. Brands don’t budget for NeoMails; NeoMails generate surplus.

The architecture follows a clear doctrine: earn attention before monetising it; exhaust free channels before spending on paid; create pull rather than push. The escalation sequence is explicit: NeoMails first (earn attention at zero cost), NeoNet second (borrow attention at cooperative cost), Adtech last (buy attention only when necessary).

Atrium is not email marketing improved. It is attention infrastructure—the second engine NeoMarketing needs to make “Never Pay Twice” real.

**

Atrium completes the NeoMarketing architecture. Meridian handles Best customers through outcome-based economics. Atrium handles Rest and Test through attention-based economics. Together, they eliminate the structural conditions that create AdWaste.

Thinks 1889

Arnold Kling: “My sense is that the near future belongs to the sorts of people who thrive at Alpha. Having the ability to work with AI and the ambition that comes from internal pressure will enable some people to accomplish far more than they could have previously. Those who resist AI and/or fail to set high expectations for themselves will have to settle for lower income and status. The next several years are going to find us living out “average is over.””

TheMaxSource: “McKinsey surveyed 1,200 business leaders and found that 61 percent say at least half the time they spend making decisions is ineffective. Fewer than half report that decisions are timely. The problem isn’t lack of information or bad analysis. The problem is waiting for everyone to agree. Organizations treat consensus as the gold standard for decision quality. Get everyone in the room. Hash it out. Make sure nobody objects. This sounds reasonable until you measure what it costs. Companies that optimize for agreement optimize for delay. Delay means competitors move first. Markets shift. Opportunities close.”

David Brooks’ book recommendation: ““Man’s Search for Meaning” by Viktor Frankl. He teaches that the animating human drive is not the desire for money, fame or popularity. It is the desire to feel that your life has purpose.”

Vasant Dhar: “In the new era of modern AI, I am forced to consider whether I am becoming obsolete, both as a practitioner and professor. Many of us should be asking ourselves the same question: how do I stay ahead of the machine?”

FT: “Digital advertising now accounts for about three-quarters of the more than $1tn global ad market and Google is the dominant player in the sector, with advertising revenues of $82.3bn in the fourth quarter of 2025, up about $10bn from the previous year. However, having siphoned off revenue from traditional TV and print advertising markets, Google and other giants such as Meta and Amazon are now facing threats to their well-oiled advertising machines. Google has already introduced advertising into its AI mode, a chat interface that sits within traditional search, and AI overviews, its summaries posted at the top of search results.”

Stop Paying Twice: A CMO’s Guide to NeoMails and NeoNet (Part 4)

If NeoMails Can’t Recover Them, NeoNet Can—Before You Go to Adtech

Step 2: NeoNet—Deterministic Recovery via Partner Inboxes

NeoNet starts with a simple truth: Your Test customer is another brand’s Best subscriber.

A customer dormant on your list might be highly engaged with a non-competing brand in the NeoNet network. They’re opening emails from a coffee roaster, a fitness app, a financial publisher. Their attention exists—it’s just directed elsewhere.

Instead of bidding in auctions to “find” them again, NeoNet matches consented identity and places your ActionAd inside a partner brand’s engaged NeoMail. Recovery happens through attention that already exists.

The comparison with traditional adtech:

  • Probabilistic targeting → Deterministic identity
  • Platform auction fees → Cooperative cost-sharing
  • $15-50 per reacquisition → 30-50% lower cost
  • Unknown if customer sees ad → Known delivery in engaged channel
  • Click-through to external site → In-email action via ActionAds
  • Platform profits from brand failure → Brands profit from cooperation

NeoNet is the opposite of a walled garden. It’s a cooperative identity network where brands help each other eliminate AdWaste instead of enriching platforms.

Why This Isn’t “List Swapping”

When people first hear “cooperative recovery network,” they imagine something simple: “We have email addresses. You have email addresses. Let’s match them and show each other’s offers.”

That naive version fails for the same reason list swaps always fail. It becomes spam.

NeoNet only works when it’s judgement-led, not broadcast-led. That’s why it needs a state/trace of what was tried and exhausted—so the network doesn’t become spammy “adtech in email clothing.” The Context Graph tracks which customers should be targeted, whether they’re exhausted or simply temporarily silent, which partner brand is a good fit, what message will feel relevant rather than invasive, what frequency is safe, and how to attribute outcomes fairly.

NeoNet respects privacy and consent: No raw email addresses are shared between brands. Each brand remains the data controller for their own customers. Opt-out mechanisms are built in. The system is designed for DPDP (India) and GDPR (if expanding) compliance from day one.

The Escalation Sequence

  1. Start with NeoMails: Attempt recovery through your own NeoMail sends with Magnets and Mu
  2. Track response: Monitor opens and engagement across 7 NeoMails
  3. Escalate to NeoNet: If no response after 7 sends, activate NeoNet ActionAds in partner emails
  4. Last resort—Adtech: Only if both NeoMails and NeoNet fail

This sequencing dramatically reduces AdWaste. Most recoverable customers respond to NeoMails or NeoNet—at zero cost or cooperative cost. Only the genuinely unreachable require adtech intervention.

Getting Started: The 90-Day NEO Pilot

What we need from you:

  • A list of Rest/Test customers (starting with Rest is usually best)
  • Brand assets for the Brand Block
  • Your current suppression rules + domain constraints

What you get:

  • NeoMails built and operated with our “easy creation factory” approach (low internal load)
  • Controlled rollout + measurement against a holdout
  • A clear decision at day 90: scale, refine, or stop

The commercials:

  • NeoMails: Zero cost if you agree to carry ActionAds
  • After recovering email delivery costs, we share ActionAd revenue with you
  • These revenues can offset NeoNet costs when escalation is needed

That’s how we Zero the CAC.

Success Metrics (Keep It Simple)

  • Lift in Real Reach (90-day actives)
  • Lift in CRR (attention persistence)
  • Rest → Best migration rate
  • Reduction in Rest → Test churn
  • CAC avoided (reacquisition spend you didn’t need)

The scorecard will show: Real Reach delta (target: +10-15 points), CRR improvement for reactivated cohort (target: 2x baseline), holdout vs exposed uplift, and estimated CAC avoided.

Objections—And Answers

“Will this hurt my deliverability?”
No. 10% volume cap, stop rule after 7 non-opens, coordinated frequency limits.

“Will customers be annoyed by ads?”
ActionAds are capped, relevant, and part of an explicit value exchange (Mu). They fund the email—customers understand this.

“Is this compliant with data regulations?”
Yes. No raw PII sharing, built-in opt-out, controller/processor clarity.

“Isn’t this just ‘ads in email’?”
No. It’s funded reactivation with in-email actions. The ads enable zero-cost recovery—they’re the business model, not the product.

“What if it doesn’t work?”
Stop rule + escalation sequence. At day 90, you decide: scale, refine, or stop.

“How much work is this for my team?”
Minimal. Factory handles content. You provide list + brand assets.

The CMO Choice

If you do nothing, the system defaults to this: Drift → Silence → “Win-back” → Paid retargeting → Pay twice.

NEO offers a different order of operations: NeoMails (earn attention at zero cost) → NeoNet (borrow attention cooperatively) → Adtech (only if both fail).

That’s how you start moving towards the only defensible end-state:

Zero the CAC—not by pausing spend, but by stopping the need to reacquire customers you already had.

Never Lose Customers. Never Pay Twice.

Thinks 1888

SaaStr: “Here’s the counterintuitive insight that’s reshaping how the smartest AI founders think about unit economics: Your inference costs aren’t your gross margin problem. They’re your CAC replacement.  If … You Have a Product That Can Truly Deliver with AI. The companies growing fastest right now—Cursor crossing $1B ARR with ~300 employees and no traditional marketing, Lovable and Replit both hitting ~$300M ARR with zero paid acquisition, Harvey and Legora in legal, OpenEvidence in healthcare—aren’t sweating inference costs. They’re optimizing them for sure, but they are also leaning into them. They’re treating compute as their primary growth investment, not their primary margin drag.”

Andrej Karpathy: “It is hard to communicate how much programming has changed due to AI in the last 2 months: not gradually and over time in the “progress as usual” way, but specifically this last December. There are a number of asterisks but imo coding agents basically didn’t work before December and basically work since – the models have significantly higher quality, long-term coherence and tenacity and they can power through large and long tasks, well past enough that it is extremely disruptive to the default programming workflow.”

FT: “The internet made information global. Crypto is making a similar impact on money. While recent headlines might fixate on prices of bitcoin, a deeper and longer-lasting shift is under way in digital payments. This is the year that stablecoins, or cryptocurrencies pegged to assets such as the dollar, are becoming part of the mainstream for online and international payments. Call it money’s “WhatsApp moment”. Just as chat apps like WhatsApp collapsed the cost of international messaging from, say, 30 cents per text to zero, stablecoins are doing the same in financial transactions. The numbers bear this out: stablecoins moved over $12tn in value last year, after filtering out bots and other inorganic activity — volumes that are rising towards Visa’s $17tn of transactions last year but made at a fraction of the cost. In the process, stablecoins are bringing the internet’s original vision of openness and interoperability to finance. Given how blockchain technology allows stablecoins to be programmed, money is in effect becoming software.”

WSJ: “In past eras, the perfect weapon was one that would inflict maximum damage on an enemy. A bigger cannon, a more explosive shell, a better strategic bomber—a B-52 instead of a B-29—or a hydrogen bomb instead of an atomic one. In “The Warhead” Jeffrey Stern…traces the evolution of precision-guided munitions (PGMs) over the past half-century. By Mr. Stern’s account, the PGM represents a technological breakthrough that has changed history and the way wars are fought. It’s an absorbing tale of scientific and technological achievement, political and military hubris, and the story of ordinary people being caught up in other people’s bad decisions—and dying as a result.”

Stop Paying Twice: A CMO’s Guide to NeoMails and NeoNet (Part 3)

The Approach: Earn Attention First, Then Use It Well

What if you could reach your disengaged customers without hurting domain reputation, without significant cost, and without creating mountains of new content?

That’s the NEO approach: NeoMails first (earn attention), then NeoNet (borrow attention). A two-stage recovery system designed specifically for Rest and Test customers—the 80% your traditional marketing ignores.

What NEO Is NOT

Before we explain how it works, let’s clear some common misconceptions:

  • Not email ads. NeoMails aren’t promotional banners stuffed into inboxes. They’re interactive experiences that earn attention through value—quizzes, predictions, progress—before any brand message appears.
  • Not list swapping. NeoNet doesn’t share your email list with partners. It uses hashed identity matching with strict governance—no raw PII changes hands, ever.
  • Not loyalty points inflation. Mu isn’t a currency you redeem for discounts. It’s a visible progress system that gamifies engagement—streaks, status, accumulation—not a points-for-prizes programme.
  • Not another retargeting channel. NeoNet doesn’t bid in auctions or spray ads across the web. It places your message inside a partner’s engaged email—deterministic, consented, in-inbox.

Step 1: NeoMails—”Attractors” That Make Opens Worth It Again

NeoMails are not “better promos.” They’re a new object in the inbox.

Your disengaged customers have trained themselves to see your emails as ads. They’ve learned that every message is an ask: buy this, click here, limited time, shop now. So they ignore. Filter. Delete.

NeoMails invert the equation. Instead of emails that extract attention (demanding action), NeoMails create attractors that pull customers back. Instead of extraction, accumulation. Instead of campaigns, continuity. Instead of promotional blasts, 60-second habits.

The Anatomy of a NeoMail

Every NeoMail combines five elements working together:

  • The Magnet is the reason to open—not your offer, something genuinely interesting. A Quiz about coffee origins. A WePredict card asking if NIFTY will close up or down. A Fork presenting two options to debate. These Magnets capture attention through entertainment and engagement, not promotional pressure. Three types (with a single email containing only one of them) work especially well:
    • Quiz: Quick trivia that teaches while entertaining
    • WePredict: Predictions about news, sports, or markets
    • Fork: This-or-that choices that invite opinion
  • Mu (Atomic Rewards) transforms attention into tangible progress. Each interaction—opening, answering, engaging—earns Mu points displayed in the subject line (“µ.3761 | Your Daily Brief + earn 20 µ”). Mu creates visible accumulation that gamifies inbox behaviour. Miss a day, break a streak. Customers open not just for information but for progress.
  • The Ledger shows customers exactly where they stand: total Mu balance, today’s earnings, streak bonuses, ranking among subscribers. The value exchange becomes explicit: your attention has worth, and we’re willing to compensate for it.
  • The Brand Block carries your message, offers, and product content. But it comes after the Magnet, not before. The customer has already chosen to engage. Now your brand content appears in a receptive context rather than competing for attention it hasn’t earned.
  • ActionAds are relevant, in-email action units—partner advertisements that fund the entire system while providing genuine value to the recipient.

In short:

  • Magnet = reason to open (Quiz, WePredict, Fork)
  • Mu + Ledger = reason to return (visible progress, streaks)
  • AMP = reason to complete actions without friction
  • ActionAds = funds the system (you pay nothing)

This is the APU (Attention Processing Unit) idea in practice: earn a minute of attention first, then use it well.

Zero Cost + Zero Effort: The Commercial Wedge

The pilot proposition is intentionally disruptive:

  • Zero CPM / zero per-send cost. No migration, no platform fee. The sending domain is yours. NeoMails fund themselves via in-email ActionAds. After delivery costs are recovered, revenue share applies on incremental monetisation—meaning these emails can actually generate revenue for you.
  • Zero content burden. We have a “factory”—AI-powered content generation that creates Magnets, Brand Blocks, and personalised elements at scale. You don’t need to produce hundreds of unique emails per year. The system generates them automatically, tailored to customer preferences and behaviour patterns.

Risk Controls: The Deliverability Objection, Handled

NEO only works if it respects inbox trust. So NeoMails ship with guardrails:

  • Limited frequency. NeoMails are sent across brands in a coordinated network—a maximum of 3 NeoMails per user per day across all participating brands. Your brand’s email might be sent once every 2-3 days, not daily. This is by design: we’re building inbox habits, not inbox fatigue.
  • Volume cap. NeoMails represent no more than 10% of your campaign volume—not enough to negatively impact your sender reputation, but enough to create incremental recovery opportunities.
  • Stop rule. If after 7 NeoMails there’s no open, we stop sending and escalate to NeoNet. No endless blasting to dead addresses.
  • AMP-powered. NeoMails are AMP emails—interactive experiences where all actions happen inside the email itself. No clickthrough friction. No 80-90% drop-off as customers navigate to external landing pages. Answer a quiz, fill a form, complete a purchase—all without leaving the inbox.

Practical Outcome Definition

A customer is “reactivated” when they open + engage with the NeoMail experience—not when they buy immediately. Purchases come later. Attention comes first.

Thinks 1887

NYTimes: ““The single strongest predictor of economic mobility across areas is the fraction of higher-income friends that low-income people have,” Chetty told me. “In communities where you have more cross-class interaction, kids do much better.””

Andrej Karpathy: “LLM agent capabilities (Claude & Codex especially) have crossed some kind of threshold of coherence around December 2025 and caused a phase shift in software engineering and closely related. The intelligence part suddenly feels quite a bit ahead of all the rest of it – integrations (tools, knowledge), the necessity for new organizational workflows, processes, diffusion more generally. 2026 is going to be a high energy year as the industry metabolizes the new capability.

FT: “The global economic order is spiralling out of control: tariffs are increasing, nationalism intensifying, co-operation flagging, institutions decaying. If this were not troubling enough, these same forces are feeding off one another, according to economist Eswar Prasad, creating a vicious doom loop that is accelerating the descent into disorder. Nationalist economic policies, for instance, are weakening international financial institutions, making co-operation less attractive and thereby reinforcing nationalism. Prasad explores this perverse logic in The Doom Loop, explaining why the postwar order is disintegrating and offering a sobering portrait of a world on the brink.”

NYTimes: “For decades crushing debt has spread misery in the world’s poor and lower-income nations. But the menace of unsupportable borrowing that now hangs over the global economy emanates from some of the richest countries. Record or near-record debt in the United States, Britain, France, Italy and Japan threatens to hamstring growth and sow financial instability around the globe. At home, it means countries must make interest payments with money that otherwise could have paid for health care, roads, public housing, technological advances or education. The hunger for more and more loans has also pushed up borrowing costs, gobbling up a bigger share of taxpayer money. It can also push up rates on business, consumer and car loans, as well as mortgages and credit cards; and drive up inflation.”

Rama Bijapurkar: “India’s growth is powered by hard-working people and a rising ‘Middle India’. This aspirational group needs financial enablement and infrastructure support to accelerate mobility and sustain growth.”

Stop Paying Twice: A CMO’s Guide to NeoMails and NeoNet (Part 2)

The Story Behind the Numbers: How Rest/Test Become the Reacquisition Bill

What happens to customers who drift away?

They don’t vanish from your database. They vanish from their habit of responding to you. And then the cycle begins:

  • You label them “inactive”
  • Your owned channels underperform on them
  • The business needs growth
  • You go to Google/Meta
  • You pay to reach people you already have

The Reacquisition Tax

This is the Reacquisition Tax. It’s AdWaste in its most painful form: spending to rent back attention you once had permission to access.

Think about the economics. Brands spend $50-100 to acquire each customer. They engage them successfully for 60-90 days. Then 80% disengage. Within six months, most will need to be reacquired via expensive adtech campaigns—effectively paying twice for the same customer.

Across most brands, 60-70% of acquisition budgets go to reacquiring customers they already owned but lost through attention decay. In India alone, this runs to $10 billion annually. Globally, it’s $500 billion.

The absurdity is profound. You have their email address. You have their purchase history. You have their preferences. Yet the only path back is bidding against competitors for their attention on platforms that profit from your failure to retain it.

Why Email Isn’t Solving the Problem Today

So why don’t brands fix it inside owned channels? Because “fixing” today usually means:

  • More promos—which accelerates fatigue. If your regular offers aren’t working, sending more of them doesn’t rebuild interest; it trains customers to ignore you faster.
  • More content work—which most teams can’t sustain. Creating genuinely different content for disengaged users requires creative resources that are already stretched thin.
  • Deliverability risk—the real killer. Gmail and Yahoo now penalise senders whose engagement rates drop below certain thresholds. Send too many emails to people who don’t open, and your emails stop reaching even the people who do. Most brands suppress their Rest and Test segments to protect deliverability—abandoning 80% of their base to preserve access to the 20%.

The path of least resistance becomes: retarget them where they still scroll.

The Untapped Power of Email

Here’s what many marketers miss: 130 million Indians click on at least one email every month. That’s essentially the entire transacting population of the country. Email isn’t dead. Irrelevant email is dead.

Customers haven’t abandoned email. They’ve abandoned dull, transactional broadcasts that treat their attention as disposable. They’ve become selective—opening emails that offer value, ignoring emails that demand action.

Why the Urgency is Real

  • Inboxes are stricter (Gmail/Yahoo engagement thresholds)
  • Attention half-life is shorter (customers drift faster)
  • Auctions are pricier (CPCs up 15-20% YoY)

Suppression has become the norm. That’s why reacquisition bills keep rising.

NEO’s claim: there is a third path—recovery without auctions—but it requires changing what an email is for.

In a sentence: NEO funds reactivation emails with in-inbox micro-experiences, so you can win back Rest/Test customers without risking deliverability or paying auction fees.

Thinks 1886

Richard Fain: “Every organization has its own culture. The first thing to understand is what you have. That means listening to people. It is important to recognize how important culture is. Everyone says, “Yes, our culture is terrific. This is built into our DNA. This is who we are.” That’s nonsense: You develop a culture with intentionality. You say to yourself, “This really matters. I have to work on it,” not, “I have to take it for granted,” or “I have to make sure it’s there.” I’m working on it every day; I’m measuring the progress. I’m deciding what characteristics I want our people to have, whether I want people to operate a business cheaply or I want to operate a business for total excellence. Whatever the goal, identify it and make sure people understand what you’re trying to achieve.”

NYTimes: “New York City has scads of very large buildings, but not many are as big as the glass-and-steel structure nearing completion on the south side of Kennedy International Airport. The airport’s huge new Terminal One will encompass 2.6 million square feet of passenger check-in zones, security checkpoints, baggage-claim areas, restaurants, duty-free shops and boarding gates. That will make it nearly as big as the Empire State Building, bigger than JPMorgan Chase’s new headquarters on Park Avenue and more than triple the size of the new train hub beneath Grand Central Terminal. It’s so massive that it is supplanting three of the eight terminals that once made up Kennedy: the existing Terminal 1 and the demolished Terminals 2 and 3.”

SaaStr: “I don’t want to be sold to anymore. I want to be enabled. I want to click a link, connect my data, and see value in minutes — not days or weeks. And if you’re asking me to leave something that already works, you better be making my life easier, not harder. If your product can’t do that? You’re not losing to a competitor. You’re losing to a founder with Claude and a free afternoon.”

FT: “Bots are learning how to shop. Sales driven by AI platforms will account for about 1.5 per cent of US retail ecommerce this year, according to a forecast by research company Emarketer, but the potential impact of the technology was the dominant topic of conference conversation. “For years, online shopping has been about keywords, filters, drop-down menus. And scrolling through multiple pages [of search results] until you find what you want,” Google chief executive Sundar Pichai, who was joined on stage by Walmart’s incoming boss John Furner, told his audience at the show. “Now . . . AI can do the hard work.” Its promoters say that so-called agentic AI could be a step forward similar in significance to the start of online shopping in the 1990s, or the advent of smartphones in the 2000s, as autonomous agents cut out the tedium of searching and comparing.”

Stop Paying Twice: A CMO’s Guide to NeoMails and NeoNet (Part 1)

Make Them See: The Two Numbers Your Dashboard Hides

Most “reactivation” programmes fail for one reason: they start too late. Customers don’t churn loudly—they fade quietly. By the time your win-back journey kicks in, you’ve already lost the one asset that matters: attention.

NEO is a different recovery path for Rest and Test customers—one that tries owned channels properly first (NeoMails), then uses a cooperative network (NeoNet) before you default to expensive adtech reacquisition. The doctrine is simple: Never Lose Customers. Never Pay Twice. NEO is how you operationalise it.

If you’re a CMO, you already track opens, clicks, conversions, ROAS. But those are campaign metrics—snapshots of individual sends.

To see relationship decay, you need cohort metrics. Two numbers most CMOs have never calculated—numbers that reveal the silent haemorrhage draining their marketing budgets.

The First Number: Click Retention Rate (CRR)—Your Attention Heartbeat

Take everyone who clicked on your emails in Q1. Now ask: what percentage of them clicked again in Q2?

Across 250 brands we’ve analysed at Netcore, the median answer is brutal: around 20%.

The inverse—the Attention Churn Rate—is 80%. Four out of five “engaged” customers vanish every quarter. Not from your database. Not from your email list. They vanish from your relationship.

They haven’t unsubscribed. They haven’t complained. They’ve simply gone silent—drifting from engaged to disengaged while your dashboards show everything is fine. A 2.5% click rate looks healthy until you discover that 80% of last quarter’s clickers have disappeared.

Click Retention Rate = (Clickers in both Q1 AND Q2) / (Clickers in Q1) × 100

This is a cohort-based metric, not a rolling average. If 100 users clicked in Q1, and your CRR is 20%, you’ve lost 80 engaged customers by Q2. Attention churn precedes customer churn by 30-90 days. By the time revenue churn appears in your P&L, it’s too late to intervene cost-effectively.

The Second Number: Real Reach—Your “Owned Audience” Reality Check

What percentage of your email list actually opened an email or WhatsApp message in the last 90 days?

For most brands, the answer is also sub-20%.

The asset you think you own—your “audience,” your “CRM base,” your “first-party data advantage”—is often a museum: large, impressive, and mostly silent. You’re maintaining a list of a million email addresses while effectively reaching barely 200,000.

This is exactly why reacquisition becomes inevitable once drift crosses a threshold.

The Reframe for CMOs

You don’t have a CAC problem first. You have an attention leak. CAC is just how the invoice shows up later.

Calculate Your Own Numbers

Here’s how to calculate CRR for your brand:

  1. Export: Customer IDs who clicked 2 quarters ago
  2. Export: Customer IDs who clicked in the previous quarter
  3. Count the overlap
  4. Formula: Overlap / Earlier quarter’s clickers × 100

Most brands find their CRR between 15-25%. That means 75-85% attention churn. That’s not a marketing problem hiding in the data. That’s $500 billion of global AdWaste explained in one metric.