My Proficorn Way (Part 7)

Passion Wins

In the early days of a venture, the only asset the entrepreneur has is passion. The entrepreneur has a vision of tomorrow’s world, and this must be transmitted to others in meetings. “Infectious enthusiasm” is the entrepreneur’s greatest ally for getting the first employees and customers.

When I started IndiaWorld in late 1994 it was after a series of failed ventures over a two-and-a-half year period. At times, I doubted myself – would I ever be able to do anything right to succeed. But when I went out for meetings, I was a different person – high on my passion for what the Internet could. I had to make others see the way I saw the future. And it worked. I had no track record, no connections, and no mentors. But I had an inner drive – I had an idea of what the Internet could do, and I shared it with high energy in meetings. I knew that it was “do-or-die” and I had been through enough ‘deaths’ in the previous years!

The one thing that has always stayed with me through my entrepreneurial career is my passion. I have failed many times through this period. But I take up every new idea with a zealous fervour. Even now, as I have been working from home, I am making daily presentations over Zoom to CMOs on how Velvet Rope Marketing is the key to unlocking a new world of profitable growth. It is harder to show one’s passion over a video conference in a small window on someone else’s screen, but I use my voice and hand gestures to convey my enthusiasm.

In the early days of a venture, there is no product – just a dream. Passion will pull in people, who will chart the path to profits. The entrepreneur has to inspire through tough times that will inevitably be the norm in the startup period. People follow leaders, and for every leader, the starting point of the proficorn journey is passion.

Tomorrow: My Proficorn Way (Part 8)

My Proficorn Way (Part 6)

Explore and Experiment

I have seen many people and ventures fail because they were too rigid about sticking to the original business plan. This is not to say that the plans are not necessary – they are important to get one started on the journey. But after that, one has to continuously evolve. To date, I spend a few minutes every morning thinking about what I learnt in the previous day and what I need to change in our business approach.

I remember a meeting I had in 1997 with the CFO of a global tech company which was considering an investment in IndiaWorld or one of our competitors. Here is my recollection of how the conversation went:

CFO: I need to see financial projections for the next 5 years.

Me: I don’t have the projections. I can barely tell you what our numbers will be for the next year.

CFO: I need those projections before I can make an investment decision.

Me: Ok. Here is what I can do. Tell me the numbers you need to see in year 5, and I will fill out years 1 to 4.

CFO (shocked): What do you mean?

Me: It is such a fast-evolving world. There is no way I can tell you with any degree of certainty what the future numbers will look like. But what I can tell you is this – I run this business as if my life depends on it. I will make sure we succeed. I have stayed ahead of every competitor for the past 2 years. Whatever new ideas come, I will be the first to do them. This is a life-and-death business for me. But there is no way I can give you any believable projections for the next few years. No one can.

The meeting ended shortly thereafter. As expected, I did not get the investment while my competitor did. I had the last laugh when IndiaWorld was acquired for $115 million in November 1999!

My approach to running a business is to always be on the lookout for new ideas – how can I make it better daily. Some ideas will work, while some won’t. Unless I explore and experiment, I will never know. In IndiaWorld, we launched 13 portals – 4 succeeded, 9 did not. I would never have known which ones would have worked unless I was willing to try. That’s how proficorns get created.

Tomorrow: My Proficorn Way (Part 7)

Why China Can Kill and India Cannot (Part 4)

India cannot take on China – not until its economic might – and therefore military strength – increases. It will take a generation or more of rapid and sustained economic growth. Till then, just as we are now learning to live with the virus, we will need to live with the bully. No one in the world is going to come to help us. The US can yell and scream at China for the virus but look at its actions. See this headline from a few days ago in the Wall Street Journal:

The June 14 story goes on: “China has retaken its mantle as America’s largest trading partner, emerging as a rare bright spot for U.S. farmers and other exporters as the coronavirus pandemic constrains global commerce. Trade between the two nations rose to $39.7 billion in April, up nearly 43% from the month before, and enough to once again surpass Mexico and Canada. The jump followed the signing of a trade pact in January in which China agreed to sharply step up purchases of U.S. farm products and other goods.”

This US will come to help us? The joke’s on us.

What India needs to do is to start fighting back with a different playbook. We need to start strengthening our economy with bold measures – actions no Indian political leader has ever taken even though everyone of them had the same authoritarian streak that China’s leaders have had.

  1. Create War Cabinets because the neta-babu jugalbandi cannot see us through the triple guns, germs and steel crises that we face – borders hurt by China, bodies hurt by Covid, and bank balances hurt by Cashlessness.
  2. Launch Mission 10-20-30 to replace 10 crore Chinese workers with 10 crore Indian workers in 20 months with each job having a monthly minimum income of Rs 30,000 or more, Let’s hit them where it really hurts.
  3. Show immediate intent of seriousness to transform by liquidating Lutyens Delhi

Every Indian political leader has failed the people of India. While we see what China is doing to our soldiers, we don’t see what the damage that the domestic policies of our own leaders are doing to us. Let’s open our eyes and demand the change. We have had enough of the failed policies of the past. What India needs is a disruptive political entrepreneur who can transform India. (Narendra Modi promised that during the 2013-14 election campaign. That’s what got him the support from many of us – me included.)

China is the villain outside our borders. What about the real villains within our borders? Will we demand the real political and economic changes that India needs to truly take on China? Because our children will one day ask us, “Mummy, Papa, you saw all that was happening. Why didn’t you do something about it?” What will we answer them?

Why China Can Kill and India Cannot (Part 3)

Picture India in 1950. The British have exited, and Jawaharlal Nehru and his team have taken over the management of an India ravaged by nearly 200 years of colonial rule. Nehru stands tall with no equals after the deaths of Mahatma Gandhi and then Vallabhbhai Patel. He can do anything he wants. What does he do? Socialism. His daughter Indira Gandhi takes over in the late 1960s. What does she do? More Socialism. More economic controls. And precisely as could have been predicated, the socialist control of the Indian economy leads to more poverty. And so it goes on through the 1970s and 1980s. Even after seeing what China is doing, India’s leaders do not open up the Indian economy. Half-hearted attempts are made by Narasimha Rao in 1991 followed by Atal Behari Vajpayee a decade later. Both miss the Deng-like transformation opportunity.

It doesn’t end there. The policies that have created perpetually planned poverty are now seeped deep into the psyche of the political leaders because in their minds that’s what helps them win elections. Manmohan Singh has 10 years in power, and Narendra Modi has had 6. Have they changed anything? Nothing substantial. It is the same old socialist stifling of the economy. Every Tokenism here and there goes by the name of second-generation reforms.

By and large, Indians stay poor. The gap between China and India keeps widening. India’s leaders still don’t see the writing on the wall. China’s power keeps growing and India does demonetisation. As if the economy wasn’t damaged enough already.

Every Indian leader has failed the people. And almost everyone has won re-election, validating every bad policy. So, why should the leaders wish to change the failed socialist policies?

And then one day, 20 Indians are killed and there is outrage. We realise that we cannot really fight back. All we can do is to mourn our dead soldiers, make a few grandiose statements, threaten to uninstall Chinese apps from our phones and put some trade restrictions on China (which will impose costs on Indian consumers by increasing prices of locally made goods). We are angry. But at whom? China is doing what the bully does – hit the weak. The question to ask is – why are we weak? Who made us weak? Did the Chinese make our policies? Did the Chinese elect our leaders? Did the Chinese re-elect our leaders? All we need to do is to look into the mirror for the answer.

Tomorrow: Why China Can Kill and India Cannot (Part 4)

Why China Can Kill and India Cannot (Part 2)

There are many explanations about how China became rich and powerful. One of the best books on China’s transformation is “How China Became Capitalist” by Ronald Coase, winner of the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences in 1991, and Ning Wang (published in 2012). From its introduction:

How China Became Capitalist details the extraordinary, and often unanticipated, journey that China has taken over the past thirty five years in transforming itself from a closed agrarian socialist economy to an indomitable economic force in the international arena. The authors revitalise the debate around the rise of the Chinese economy through the use of primary sources, persuasively arguing that the reforms implemented by the Chinese leaders did not represent a concerted attempt to create a capitalist economy, and that it was ‘marginal revolutions’ that introduced the market and entrepreneurship back to China. Lessons from the West were guided by the traditional Chinese principle of ‘seeking truth from facts’. By turning to capitalism, China re-embraced her own cultural roots.

I want to focus on what I think is the single biggest determinant of why countries prosper or flounder: political leadership.

Consider China in the late 1970s. Battered by Mao’s Great Leap Forward and the Cultural Revolution. Communism, famines and government action has killed tens of millions. And then Mao dies. A new leader emerges. Deng Xiaoping. He begins the process of transforming China. Step by step. He sees a future very different from China’s past. He lays the foundation for a rich China. Which in turn creates a powerful China.

What does Deng Xiaoping do? Many things. Deng junks the old policies that kept the Chinese poor. He opens up the Chinese economy to foreign investment in manufacturing. The Chinese people respond. And so does the world. Manufacturing shifts to China. That creates jobs and lifts hundreds of millions out of poverty. It lays the foundation for China’s military prowess as China becomes prosperous.

Rarely is economic change bottom-up. People can overthrow governments but cannot create prosperity. For that, there needs to be a leader who overturns policies that had kept people poor. (In the case of the US, leaders like James Madison, Alexander Hamilton along with others crafted the rules via the American Constitution in 1789 that created the conditions for growth and prosperity.) Deng was that leader for China.

And what were India’s leaders doing while China was booming? They were keeping Indians poor.

Tomorrow: Why China Can Kill and India Cannot (Part 3)

Why China Can Kill and India Cannot (Part 1)

China killed 20 Indian soldiers. India also probably killed some Chinese soldiers, but we will probably never know that. Even as anger rises in India, there is also the realisation that in a straight contest between the two, China’s military superiority will overwhelm India. China is more powerful than India. Hence, China can bully India and get away with it. It is not a good outcome. It should make us rightfully angry. The question is: who should we be angry against? The Chinese leaders who made China powerful or the Indian leaders who kept India weak?

Until the late 1970s, India and China had very similar per capita income and problems. Both had large populations and both had been impoverished by singularly bad leadership over the previous 30 years. And then, as we know, something extraordinary happened. China transformed itself; India did not. Today, the average Chinese has a per capita income that is five times that of the average Indian. This chart below from Hindustan Times (Jan 18, 2020) shows the diverging fortunes of the two nations over the past 40 years.

Since India and China are comparable in population, the per capita GDP difference is also the difference in total GDP: China’s income is five times India’s GDP. China’s consistent higher income over the past four decades also means that China is certainly over 10 times wealthier than India.

Therefore over the decades, the might of the Chinese economy has enabled it to invest in a very powerful military. India’s defence investments have languished on the back of a weaker economy. And with power has come China’s aggression – knowing full well that none of its neighbours can fight back. That is why China can bully and kill, and all India can do is to meekly watch. We can fret and fume, but we know we cannot hit back. China is simply too strong for India.

How did it happen? How did China become so dominant? Why did India not do? What did China do right, and what did India do wrong? This is the introspection we need to be doing. We lost our past and fumbled our present. What will it take for India to win in the future?

Tomorrow: Why China Can Kill and India Cannot (Part 2)

My Proficorn Way (Part 5)

The Profits Flywheel

I first came across the idea of a flywheel in Jim Collins’ book, “Good to Great.” Here is an excerpt:

Picture a huge, heavy flywheel—a massive metal disk mounted horizontally on an axle, about 30 feet in diameter, 2 feet thick, and weighing about 5,000 pounds. Now imagine that your task is to get the flywheel rotating on the axle as fast and long as possible.

Pushing with great effort, you get the flywheel to inch forward, moving almost imperceptibly at first. You keep pushing and, after two or three hours of persistent effort, you get the flywheel to complete one entire turn.

You keep pushing, and the flywheel begins to move a bit faster, and with continued great effort, you move it around a second rotation. You keep pushing in a consistent direction.  Three turns … four … five … six … the flywheel builds up speed … seven … eight … you keep pushing … nine … ten … it builds momentum … eleven … twelve … moving faster with each turn … twenty … thirty … fifty … a hundred.

Then, at some point—breakthrough!  The momentum of the thing kicks in your favor, hurling the flywheel forward, turn after turn … whoosh! … its own heavy weight working for you. You’re pushing no harder than during the first rotation, but the flywheel goes faster and faster.  Each turn of the flywheel builds upon work done earlier, compounding your investment of effort. A thousand times faster, then ten thousand, then a hundred thousand. The huge heavy disk flies forward, with almost unstoppable momentum.

Now suppose someone came along and asked, “What was the one big push that caused this thing to go so fast?”

You wouldn’t be able to answer; it’s just a nonsensical question. Was it the first push? The second? The fifth? The hundredth? No! It was all of them added together in an overall accumulation of effort applied in a consistent direction.  Some pushes may have been bigger than others, but any single heave—no matter how large—reflects a small fraction of the entire cumulative effect upon the flywheel.

The flywheel image captures the overall feel of what it was like inside the companies as they went from good to great. No matter how dramatic the end result, the good-to-great transformations never happened in one fell swoop. There was no single defining action, no grand program, no one killer innovation, no solitary lucky break, no wrenching revolution. Good to great comes about by a cumulative process—step by step, action by action, decision by decision, turn by turn of the flywheel—that adds up to sustained and spectacular results.

The flywheel is what a proficorn entrepreneur looks for. What are the series of small steps and actions that can create a profit machine?

In IndiaWorld, it was the twin combination of our own portals and website development. The services business of developing websites kept the cash coming in. Advertising on our own portals for these new sites to get their own traffic helped accelerate the flywheel. The additional profits helped us build even more of our own sites and get more traffic. Each step helped make the flywheel go faster.

As I think about Velvet Rope Marketing, it can become a similar profitability flywheel for businesses – get more revenue from the Best Customers, acquire more like them, help them get to their maximum thresholds faster. What I still need to think about is how to make it even better – perhaps our owned properties which can reduce cost of acquisition even further.

Every entrepreneur needs to find their profitability flywheel – that is the difference between a good business and a great built-to-last business, one that can grow with its customers. When one sees a proficorn, there will inevitably be a flywheel as the secret to its success.

Will be continued soon.

My Proficorn Way (Part 4)

Living in the Future

One of my defining memories is reading CK Prahalad and Gary Hamel’s book, “Competing for the Future,” when it was published in 1994. That was a very difficult time for me. I had failed multiple times in various ventures that I had tried over the past two-and-a-half years. The realisation had dawned on me that my most recent foray into creating an image processing solution was headed the same way and had to be shut down. I was staring at an abyss.

It was at that time that I picked up the Prahalad-Hamel book and started reading it. The book transformed me. I made notes on Post-Its through the book – these notes became the eventual business plan for IndiaWorld. There is one particular passage that struck a chord and has stayed with me through the years:

There is not one future but hundreds. There is no law that says most companies must be followers. Getting to the future first is not just about outrunning competitors bent on reaching the same prize. It is also about having one’s own view of what the prize is. There can be as many prizes as runners; imagination is the only limiting factor. Renoir, Picasso, Calder, Serat, and Chagall were all enormously successful artists, but each had an original and distinctive style. In no way did the success of one preordain the failure of another. Yet each artist spawned a host of imitators. In business, as in art, what distinguishes leaders from laggards, and greatness from mediocrity, is the ability to uniquely imagine what could be.

To build a proficorn, an entrepreneur must imagine the future and get there first. One is not building just for the next few months – one has to imagine tomorrow’s world and create that future. If you get there first, you win. This journey is what makes entrepreneurship so exciting. It is a race – where there are many competitors, known and unknown. But there is a second race – in the entrepreneur’s mind, to create and craft a future that isn’t yet unknown. The entrepreneur then also has to persuade others (employees, partners and customers) about that future. It is the ultimate reality game!

Even now, as I sit at home, I am trying to imagine the new future – one where every offline business needs an online business, where hundreds and thousands of new online-only brands will get created. All of them will need help with their customer relationships – identifying their best customers and ensuring they reach their full spending threshold. What kind of tech solutions will they need? How can I as an entrepreneur fill this gap? The future beckons, and that’s where proficorn entrepreneurs live.

Tomorrow: My Proficorn Way (Part 5)

My Proficorn Way (Part 3)

Open-sourcing Ideas

One of the approaches I have followed in life is to be very open with my ideas. Whether it was IndiaWorld in 1994 or Velvet Rope Marketing in 2020, I have always been of the view that sharing and discussing ideas with others improves the ideas. I go into meetings thinking that if there is one new thing I can learn then the meeting will have served its purpose. And since I will never know until I do a meeting whether I will have learnt something or not, I tend to be open to doing meetings. And in these meetings, I talk about my ideas and thinking – even though they may not be fully baked. The feedback I get from others helps me refine the ideas. The more the inputs, the better the idea becomes.

In the fall of 1994 when I first thought up the idea of how an Internet portal could bridge the news and information for NRIs, I discussed the idea with dozens of people. I had a Visit-USA ticket on Delta – which allowed me to fly standby for a period of two months for a fixed price. It was an entrepreneur’s dream! I would talk to people and anyone who agreed to meet, I would tell them, “How about I meet you at your office tomorrow so we can discuss this in depth?” (That was, of course in the pre-Zoom days!) Go the airport, take the first available flight, and do the meeting. No cost-benefit analysis; just meet. The travel time would allow me to read and think. The different settings would trigger new ideas. And the meetings themselves were link hyperlinks which opened up new windows. I became better each day – one meeting at a time.

I find too many entrepreneurs now are very cagey about sharing their ideas. What they don’t realise is that someone somewhere is likely to have the same idea anyway. The idea is just the starting point. It is a key that opens a door. After that, it’s all about the way one executes and creates the new world. And in execution, a million things have to go right for eventual success.

So, to build a proficorn, start by sharing ideas – every person you meet and discuss it with will add value and make the idea better. Open your mind, open-source your idea and learn from the wisdom of others.

Tomorrow: My Proficorn Way (Part 4)

My Proficorn Way (Part 2)

Journey not Money

My wife, Bhavana, once told me, “The more you chase money, the further it runs away from you.” As an entrepreneur, I have never obsessed about money. I have done things because I saw a problem and gap in the market, and I tried to solve it. At times, it has worked. At other times, it has failed. The journey of discovering the opportunity, thinking through the solution and taking it to customers is what has been the driver. It cannot be about the valuation and exit one will get – focusing on these will distract and make for short-termism which will necessarily hurt the growth and profitability of the business.

At this point, it is useful to understand what an entrepreneur does. Israel Kirzner has this to say:

We have to recognize that when the entrepreneur discovers the automobile, he is not simply disrupting the calm. He is identifying what was in fact waiting to be introduced. Technological knowledge was being misapplied. Resources were being wasted on trains, carriages, and bicycles, when, in fact, what was waiting to be put together was this new gadget called the automobile. A person who recognizes this is responding to a preexisting, gaping hole in the market.

[I]n a more fundamental sense, he is correcting an already existing discoordination. He is redirecting resources that are already misplaced. People do not have to go on for years and years behaving in ways that are socially inefficient. The person who abruptly draws their attention to this inefficiency is assisting in the process of economic coordination.

While entrepreneurs may not know it, it is exactly what they do. This journey of filling in gaps in the market is what has to create the excitement. The financial reward that lies in store for success is just icing on the cake.

For me, when I launched IndiaWorld, the gap was in the flow of information from India to NRIs globally and the recognition that the Internet could play an instrumental role. The excitement was in making this happen – and not that one day I would sell the business and make a lot of money. It was this desire to make lives better that drove me – starting with news, then cricket scores, recipes and much more. The thrill lay in solving one problem and then the next and so on. Proficorns are built thus – one solution at a time.

Tomorrow: My Proficorn Way (Part 3)